Old West Tampa leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Old West Tampa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Old West Tampa, ~35% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Old West Tampa compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Old West Tampa leans more Democratic than 24 of 28 neighbors.
Old West Tampa runs about 52 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Old West Tampa is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Old West Tampa. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+62) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 60 points.
Why Old West Tampa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Old West Tampa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Old West Tampa votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Old West Tampa runs about 52 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in Old West Tampa have never been married, above 77% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Old West Tampa, Tampa, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Old West Tampa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Old West Tampa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 16 points below the Florida average of 56%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Old West Tampa sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Northeast MacFarlane, Tampa, FL Even
- Riverside Heights, Tampa, FL D+21
- Oakford Park, Tampa, FL D+8
- Tampa Heights, Tampa, FL D+53
- Downtown Tampa, Tampa, FL D+17
- Courier City, Tampa, FL Even
- North Hyde Park, Tampa, FL D+12
- Wellswood, Tampa, FL D+2
- South Seminole Heights, Tampa, FL D+32
- Carver City-Lincoln Gardens, Tampa, FL D+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sunset, Tempe, AZ D+41
- Historic District, Natchitoches, LA D+13
- Madison Area, Grand Rapids, MI D+72
- Jacoby Creek, Arcata, CA D+59
- Wentworth Estates, Naples, FL R+16
- Croissant Park, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+5
- Heart of the Westside, Springfield, MO R+15
- Minikahda Vista, St. Louis Park, MN D+55
- McFerrin Park, Nashville, TN D+71
- Southgate Triangle, Missoula, MT D+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.