Hoag Corners leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Hoag Corners typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hoag Corners, ~29% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hoag Corners compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hoag Corners leans more Republican than 107 of 129 neighbors.
Hoag Corners runs about 35 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hoag Corners is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hoag Corners leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hoag Corners, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hoag Corners votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hoag Corners runs about 35 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Hoag Corners, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hoag Corners looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hoag Corners is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Nassau, NY R+18
- Dunham Hollow, NY R+21
- Morey Park, NY R+20
- Sliters, NY R+6
- Averill Park, NY R+7
- Nassau, NY R+10
- East Schodack, NY R+10
- West Lebanon, NY Even
- Brainard, NY D+12
- Sand Lake, NY R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Youngstown, IL R+48
- Sealy Springs, AL R+69
- Hardin Heights, FL D+49
- Saco, AL R+32
- Los Hueros, NM D+10
- Noyo, CA D+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.