Brainard, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Brainard

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Brainard leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.

 

About 84% of adults in Brainard typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Brainard, ~47% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Brainard compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Brainard leans more Democratic than 81 of 127 neighbors.

Politically, Brainard sits close to the rest of New York.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Brainard. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+31) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 34 points.

Why Brainard leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Brainard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 37% of adults in Brainard hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 28%.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Brainard, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Brainard looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Brainard is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.