Hoke County leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Hoke County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hoke County, ~39% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hoke County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Hoke County leans more Democratic than 10 of 12 neighbors.
Hoke County runs about 10 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Hoke County. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+28) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 43 points.
Why Hoke County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hoke County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 33% of adults in Hoke County have never been married, above 78% of counties.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Hoke County, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hoke County looks the way it does
Turnout in Hoke County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Cumberland County, NC D+20
- Robeson County, NC R+13
- Scotland County, NC D+2
- Moore County, NC R+24
- Harnett County, NC R+21
- Lee County, NC R+18
- Richmond County, NC R+15
- Marlboro County, SC D+9
- Bladen County, NC R+17
- Dillon County, SC R+5
Counties with Similar Populations
- Rusk County, TX R+53
- Grant County, WI R+23
- Darke County, OH R+61
- Harrisonburg City, VA D+18
- Waupaca County, WI R+34
- Ogle County, IL R+28
- Oktibbeha County, MS D+3
- St. Martin Parish, LA R+35
- Warren County, IA R+24
- Calumet County, WI R+23
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.