Holly Hill is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Holly Hill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holly Hill, ~28% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holly Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holly Hill sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 0 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 25 leaning the other way.
Holly Hill runs about 12 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Holly Hill. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Holly Hill leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Holly Hill. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Holly Hill, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Holly Hill looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Holly Hill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 45% of households in Holly Hill rent, compared to around 20% in nearby cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Holly Hill sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Daytona Beach, FL R+19
- Ormond Beach, FL R+24
- South Daytona, FL R+12
- Daytona Beach Shores, FL R+18
- Ormond-by-the-Sea, FL R+17
- Port Orange, FL R+26
- Ponce Inlet, FL R+27
- Isleboro, FL R+35
- Flagler Beach, FL R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Eufaula, AL Even
- San Marino, CA D+21
- Homosassa Springs, FL R+52
- Dallas, PA R+18
- Wesley Chapel, NC R+19
- Ball Ground, GA R+62
- St. Albans, VT R+12
- Middle Valley, TN R+39
- McFarland, WI D+31
- Church Hill, TN R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.