Ponce Inlet leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Ponce Inlet typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ponce Inlet, ~32% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ponce Inlet compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ponce Inlet leans more Republican than 10 of 21 neighbors.
Ponce Inlet runs about 14 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Ponce Inlet leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ponce Inlet, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ponce Inlet votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 28%, well below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ponce Inlet, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Ponce Inlet looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ponce Inlet is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Ponce Inlet own their home, compared to around 75% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Ponce Inlet have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Isleboro, FL R+35
- Port Orange, FL R+26
- New Smyrna Beach, FL R+29
- Daytona Beach Shores, FL R+18
- South Daytona, FL R+12
- Daytona Beach, FL R+19
- Edgewater, FL R+33
- Holly Hill, FL Even
- Oak Hill, FL R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Beaver, WV R+49
- Port Byron, IL R+22
- Edgewood, TX R+72
- Lockbourne, OH R+32
- Hermann, MO R+50
- Angwin, CA D+26
- Lisbon, IA R+19
- Millington, NJ Even
- Daleville, IN R+44
- Bottineau, ND R+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.