Church Hill, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Church Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Church Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.

 

About 75% of adults in Church Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Church Hill, ~14% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Church Hill compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Church Hill leans more Republican than 16 of 71 neighbors.

Church Hill runs about 35 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Church Hill. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+59), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Church Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Church Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Church Hill votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 32%, modestly above the Tennessee average of 21%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Church Hill fits that profile on both counts.

Park access and Republican lean

Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Church Hill, TN sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.

Why turnout in Church Hill looks the way it does

Turnout in Church Hill sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.