Holmes County is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Holmes County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holmes County, ~10% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holmes County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Holmes County leans more Republican than 9 of 10 neighbors.
Holmes County runs about 58 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Holmes County. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Holmes County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holmes County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Holmes County drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Holmes County sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 95% of counties).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Holmes County, FL sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Holmes County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Holmes County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Washington County, FL R+61
- Geneva County, AL R+74
- Jackson County, FL R+41
- Houston County, AL R+30
- Walton County, FL R+50
- Coffee County, AL R+46
- Dale County, AL R+43
- Bay County, FL R+35
- Calhoun County, FL R+59
- Covington County, AL R+66
Counties with Similar Populations
- Gonzales County, TX R+41
- Jones County, TX R+47
- Elbert County, GA R+35
- Lincoln County, MT R+50
- Vernon County, MO R+56
- Duchesne County, UT R+76
- Simpson County, KY R+42
- Pierce County, GA R+71
- Marion County, KY R+50
- Lincoln County, WY R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.