Lincoln County is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Lincoln County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln County, ~19% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln County compares
Lincoln County runs about 30 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lincoln County. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+45), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Lincoln County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lincoln County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Lincoln County, about 90% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Montana average of 29%.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lincoln County, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lincoln County looks the way it does
Turnout in Lincoln County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Boundary County, ID R+64
- Flathead County, MT R+32
- Bonner County, ID R+44
- Sanders County, MT R+54
- Shoshone County, ID R+43
- Pend Oreille County, WA R+38
- Kootenai County, ID R+46
- Lake County, MT R+21
- Mineral County, MT R+53
- Benewah County, ID R+60
Counties with Similar Populations
- Jones County, TX R+47
- Gonzales County, TX R+41
- Holmes County, FL R+71
- Vernon County, MO R+56
- Pierce County, GA R+71
- Elbert County, GA R+35
- Douglas County, IL R+48
- Duchesne County, UT R+76
- Simpson County, KY R+42
- Monroe County, AL R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.