Holmes-Foster Historic District, State College, PA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Holmes-Foster Historic District

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Holmes-Foster Historic District leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.

 

About 60% of adults in Holmes-Foster Historic District typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holmes-Foster Historic District, ~44% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Holmes-Foster Historic District compares

Holmes-Foster Historic District runs about 48 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, and Holmes-Foster Historic District sits clearly on the Democratic side.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Holmes-Foster Historic District. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+53) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+38), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Holmes-Foster Historic District leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holmes-Foster Historic District, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 66% of adults in Holmes-Foster Historic District hold a bachelor's degree, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 73% of adults in Holmes-Foster Historic District have never been married, above 98% of neighborhoods. Holmes-Foster Historic District runs against the grain of Pennsylvania, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Holmes-Foster Historic District, State College, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Holmes-Foster Historic District looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 81% of households in Holmes-Foster Historic District rent, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Holmes-Foster Historic District sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.