Midtown Harrisburg is a Democratic stronghold. About 82% of voters here vote Democratic and 18% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Midtown Harrisburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midtown Harrisburg, ~55% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midtown Harrisburg compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midtown Harrisburg leans more Democratic than 3 of 4 neighbors.
Midtown Harrisburg runs about 66 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, and Midtown Harrisburg sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midtown Harrisburg. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+73) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+57), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Midtown Harrisburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midtown Harrisburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midtown Harrisburg votes against the grain of Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, while Midtown Harrisburg runs about 66 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Midtown Harrisburg have never been married, above 82% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Midtown Harrisburg, Harrisburg, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Midtown Harrisburg looks the way it does
Turnout in Midtown Harrisburg sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Camp Curtin, Harrisburg, PA D+73
- Allison Hill, Harrisburg, PA D+63
- Hall Manor, Harrisburg, PA D+59
- Pine Brook, Camp Hill, PA Even
- Shiloh, York, PA R+12
- The Avenues, York, PA D+30
- Park Village, York, PA D+41
- Northwest Triangle, York, PA D+40
- Springetts Manor-Yorklyn, York, PA D+6
- Springdale, York, PA D+42
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Highlands, Lincoln, NE Even
- Lauderdale Manors, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+77
- Edgewater, Cleveland, OH D+54
- Delaware Avenue, Albany, NY D+58
- Linden Hills, Minneapolis, MN D+72
- Vose, Beaverton, OR D+39
- South Middle River, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+56
- Franklin Park, Detroit, MI D+87
- Triple Creek, Beaverton, OR D+36
- North Sharon Amity, Charlotte, NC D+49
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.