Holmes is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Holmes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holmes, ~35% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holmes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holmes sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 188 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 55 leaning the other way.
Politically, Holmes sits close to the rest of Pennsylvania.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Holmes. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Holmes leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Holmes. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Holmes, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Holmes looks the way it does
Turnout in Holmes sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Glenolden, PA D+11
- Morton, PA D+9
- Rutledge, PA D+15
- Prospect Park, PA Even
- Norwood, PA R+5
- Folsom, PA R+7
- Primos, PA D+21
- Folcroft, PA D+44
- Ridley Park, PA R+3
- Clifton Heights, PA D+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Brookdale, SC D+84
- Belle, WV R+40
- Maple Falls, WA R+9
- Hulbert, OK R+47
- Sherwood, WI R+31
- Luverne, AL R+48
- Caledonia, MN R+32
- Ferdinand, IN R+50
- Valley, NE R+32
- Mobridge, SD R+41
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.