Honolulu, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Honolulu

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Honolulu leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.

 

About 48% of adults in the Honolulu area typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in the Honolulu area, ~29% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Honolulu compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Honolulu leans more Democratic than 20 of 29 neighbors.

Honolulu runs about 5 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Honolulu. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+31) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 24 points.

Why Honolulu leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Honolulu, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 38% of adults in the Honolulu area hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in the Honolulu area have never been married, above 86% of cities.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Honolulu, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Honolulu looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 39% of households in the Honolulu area rent, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Honolulu sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 9% of homes in the Honolulu area have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.