Horizon City leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Horizon City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Horizon City, ~25% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Horizon City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Horizon City leans more Democratic than 4 of 11 neighbors.
Horizon City runs about 19 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Horizon City is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Horizon City. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Horizon City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Horizon City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 83% of residents in Horizon City live in densely developed areas, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in Horizon City have never been married, above 91% of cities. Horizon City runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Horizon City, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Horizon City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Horizon City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 5 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Socorro, TX D+12
- Cuadrilla, TX Even
- San Elizario, TX D+12
- Clint, TX D+7
- Homestead Meadows South, TX D+8
- Homestead Meadows North, TX Even
- Fabens, TX D+10
- El Paso, TX D+14
- Fort Bliss, TX R+10
- Tornillo, TX Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dyer, IN R+16
- North Liberty, IA D+24
- Siloam Springs, AR R+36
- Pelham, AL R+31
- Portland, TN R+58
- Imperial, CA R+12
- Lakeside, VA D+32
- Lyndhurst, NJ R+12
- St. Andrews, SC D+59
- Lucedale, MS R+78
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.