Horseshoe Bend, ID Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Horseshoe Bend

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Horseshoe Bend is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.

 

About 75% of adults in Horseshoe Bend typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Horseshoe Bend, ~15% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Horseshoe Bend compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Horseshoe Bend leans more Republican than 13 of 19 neighbors.

Horseshoe Bend runs about 24 points more Republican than Idaho as a whole.

Why Horseshoe Bend leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Horseshoe Bend, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Horseshoe Bend live in densely developed areas, about 15 points below the Idaho average of 18%.

Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Horseshoe Bend, ID does.

Why turnout in Horseshoe Bend looks the way it does

Turnout in Horseshoe Bend sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.