Ives Estates, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Ives Estates

Ives Estates leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.

 
Ives Estates, FL block-group political-lean map
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About 57% of adults in Ives Estates typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ives Estates, ~39% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Ives Estates, FL block-group voter-turnout map
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How Ives Estates compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Ives Estates leans more Democratic than 67 of 82 neighbors.

Ives Estates runs about 48 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Ives Estates is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ives Estates. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+49) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 42 points.

Why Ives Estates leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ives Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 93% of residents in Ives Estates live in densely developed areas, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Ives Estates sits in the top quarter (about 36%, above 83% of cities). Ives Estates runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Ives Estates, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Ives Estates looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ives Estates is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Ives Estates rent, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Cities with Similar Populations

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.