Jardine leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Jardine typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jardine, ~33% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jardine compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jardine leans more Republican than 2 of 6 neighbors.
Jardine runs about 14 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jardine. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Jardine leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jardine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Jardine live in densely developed areas, about 12 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Jardine, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Jardine looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 99% of adults in Jardine have completed high school, about 5 points above the Montana average of 94%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gardiner, MT R+6
- Corwin Springs, MT R+4
- Yellowstone National Park, WY R+46
- Miner, MT Even
- Emigrant, MT R+22
- Pray, MT R+34
- Silver Gate, MT R+9
- Pine Creek, MT R+29
- West Yellowstone, MT D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alanreed, TX R+89
- Woodruff, KS R+75
- Belden, CA R+3
- Matinicus, ME D+29
- Mills, NM R+28
- Marshall, NY R+53
- Pinckney, AR R+13
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.