Belden is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Belden typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belden, ~30% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Belden leans more Republican than 3 of 23 neighbors.
Belden runs about 23 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Belden is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Belden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Belden votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Belden runs about 23 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Belden, CA does.
Why turnout in Belden looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Belden is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Belden have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Meadow Valley, CA R+12
- Spanish Ranch, CA R+29
- Canyondam, CA R+6
- Indian Falls, CA R+6
- Keddie, CA R+24
- Stirling City, CA R+25
- Pulga, CA R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yellow Pine, ID R+41
- Woolsey, AR R+42
- Missionary, LA R+62
- Vine Creek, KS R+75
- Tocaloma, CA D+43
- Toimi, MN R+9
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.