Jay City is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Jay City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jay City, ~5% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jay City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jay City leans more Republican than 72 of 87 neighbors.
Jay City runs about 55 points more Republican than Indiana as a whole.
Why Jay City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jay City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Jay City, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 7% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Indiana average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Jay City are family households, above 96% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Jay City, IN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Jay City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Jay City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 12 points below the Indiana average of 61%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Jay City report food insecurity, above 87% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 59% of adults in Jay City have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Corydon, IN R+74
- Trinity, IN R+74
- Geneva, IN R+65
- Bryant, IN R+71
- Wabash, OH R+76
- Westchester, IN R+72
- Berne, IN R+63
- Padua, OH R+78
- Antiville, IN R+70
- Durbin, OH R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Marie, WV R+69
- Fredonia, IA R+38
- Kellnersville, WI R+47
- Wallonia, KY R+50
- Nebo Center, CA R+23
- Berlin, TN R+65
- Stockholm, ME R+37
- Ohioville, NY D+26
- Princeton, AL R+75
- Potts Grove, PA R+54
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.