Jefferson leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Jefferson typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jefferson, ~20% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jefferson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jefferson leans more Republican than 35 of 42 neighbors.
Jefferson runs about 17 points more Democratic than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jefferson. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Jefferson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jefferson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Jefferson live in densely developed areas, about 16 points below the Alabama average of 19%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Jefferson sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 78% of cities).
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Jefferson, AL does.
Why turnout in Jefferson looks the way it does
Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Jefferson sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McDowell, AL R+33
- Shortleaf, AL D+11
- Providence, AL R+19
- Old Spring Hill, AL R+36
- Demopolis, AL D+13
- Linden, AL R+7
- Myrtlewood, AL R+14
- Gallion, AL R+10
- Woodford, AL D+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stoughstown, PA R+51
- Fowlkes, TN R+71
- Wea, KS R+49
- Lakewood Park, ND R+45
- Pine Grove, OR R+18
- Berclair, TX R+49
- Fountain Heights, TN R+64
- Forward, WI D+13
- Hulberton, NY R+44
- Comanche Creek, CO R+58
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.