Jerktail is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Jerktail typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jerktail, ~12% vote Democratic, ~76% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jerktail compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jerktail leans more Republican than 34 of 45 neighbors.
Jerktail runs about 53 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Jerktail leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jerktail, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Jerktail, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 10% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Jerktail are family households, above 86% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Jerktail, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Jerktail looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Jerktail own their home, about 12 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Manes, MO R+73
- Origanna, MO R+71
- Green Mountain, MO R+72
- Falcon, MO R+72
- Agnes, MO R+71
- Grovespring, MO R+70
- Drew, MO R+70
- Lynchburg, MO R+73
- Graff, MO R+73
- Hartville, MO R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zearing, IL R+36
- Arden, NY Even
- Wonsevu, KS R+62
- Womack, TX R+72
- Cox, FL R+55
- Wales, MN R+12
- Canawaugus, NY R+29
- Lyndhurst, WI R+31
- Fossilville, PA R+71
- Elevenpoint, AR R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.