Jerome leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Jerome typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jerome, ~23% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jerome compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jerome leans more Republican than 4 of 66 neighbors.
Jerome runs about 45 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Jerome is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Jerome leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jerome, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Jerome votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Jerome runs about 45 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Jerome, VA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Jerome looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Jerome is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Basye, VA R+35
- Lost City, WV R+66
- Mount Jackson, VA R+50
- Edinburg, VA R+49
- Mathias, WV R+66
- Hepners, VA R+45
- Orkney Springs, VA R+33
- South Jackson, VA R+48
- Hawkinstown, VA R+47
- Quicksburg, VA R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Young, TX R+78
- Kingsville, PA R+63
- Bier, MD R+60
- Glenwood, OR R+25
- Cotter, IA R+46
- Hesstown, NJ R+45
- Lucky, TN R+72
- Forest Green, MO R+66
- Savoyard, KY R+67
- Sexton, IN R+66
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.