Kearny is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Kearny typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kearny, ~23% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kearny compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kearny sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 190 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 109 leaning the other way.
Kearny runs about 7 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole.
Why Kearny leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kearny. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Kearny, NJ does.
Why turnout in Kearny looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kearny is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 56% of households in Kearny rent, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 20% of adults in Kearny report food insecurity, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Newark, NJ D+4
- Harrison, NJ D+21
- North Arlington, NJ R+12
- Belleville, NJ D+10
- Silver Lake, NJ D+31
- Newark, NJ D+52
- Bloomfield, NJ D+39
- Lyndhurst, NJ R+12
- East Orange, NJ D+80
- Nutley, NJ R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hutto, TX Even
- West Hollywood, CA D+56
- Hicksville, NY R+13
- Boerne, TX R+39
- Cedar City, UT R+47
- Marlborough, MA D+21
- Fitchburg, MA D+15
- Freehold, NJ R+9
- Elmont, NY D+43
- Gillette, WY R+63
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.