Kelvin, ND Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kelvin

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kelvin leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Kelvin typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kelvin, ~35% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kelvin compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Kelvin leans more Democratic than 6 of 14 neighbors.

Kelvin runs about 50 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while Kelvin is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kelvin. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+37) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 74 points.

Why Kelvin leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kelvin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Kelvin votes against the grain of North Dakota. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while Kelvin runs about 50 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Kelvin have never been married, above 79% of cities.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kelvin, ND sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Kelvin looks the way it does

Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 26% of adults in Kelvin report food insecurity, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.