Kenedy leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Kenedy typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kenedy, ~19% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kenedy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kenedy leans more Republican than 1 of 30 neighbors.
Kenedy runs about 13 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kenedy. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Kenedy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kenedy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Kenedy hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Texas average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Kenedy runs against that pattern.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Kenedy, TX does.
Why turnout in Kenedy looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kenedy is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 8 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Kenedy rent, compared to around 23% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in Kenedy have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Green, TX R+42
- Karnes City, TX R+36
- Choate, TX R+40
- Burnell, TX R+45
- El Oso, TX R+47
- Runge, TX R+23
- Zunkerville, TX R+42
- Ecleto, TX R+46
- Helena, TX R+42
- Tulsita, TX R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lithia, FL R+58
- Hunlock Creek, PA R+18
- Orwigsburg, PA R+33
- Silver Creek, GA R+67
- Clarinda, IA R+34
- Turners Falls, MA D+25
- Metamora, IL R+30
- St. Stephen, SC D+7
- Mount Arlington, NJ R+5
- Carneys Point, NJ D+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.