Lithia is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Lithia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lithia, ~13% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lithia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lithia leans more Republican than 46 of 54 neighbors.
Lithia runs about 45 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lithia. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+36), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Lithia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lithia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in Lithia are family households, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lithia, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Lithia looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lithia is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Welcome, FL R+72
- Fish Hawk, FL R+24
- Durant, FL R+31
- Nichols, FL R+46
- Mulberry, FL R+33
- Bloomingdale, FL R+15
- Valrico, FL R+15
- Fuller Heights, FL R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Orwigsburg, PA R+33
- Clarinda, IA R+34
- Kenedy, TX R+26
- Hunlock Creek, PA R+18
- Turners Falls, MA D+25
- Silver Creek, GA R+67
- Metamora, IL R+30
- St. Stephen, SC D+7
- Lee, NH Even
- Mount Arlington, NJ R+5
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.