Choate leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Choate typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Choate, ~10% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Choate compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Choate leans more Republican than 4 of 30 neighbors.
Choate runs about 27 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Choate. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Choate leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Choate, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Choate hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Choate, TX does.
Why turnout in Choate looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Choate is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 68% of adults in Choate have completed high school, below 98% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Choate sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Burnell, TX R+45
- Kenedy, TX R+26
- Green, TX R+42
- Charco, TX R+57
- Tulsita, TX R+62
- Runge, TX R+23
- Pettus, TX R+64
- Karnes City, TX R+36
- Nordheim, TX R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Van Cleve, IA R+47
- Kellyville, KY R+67
- Vernon, CO R+75
- Guilford, MO R+58
- Hickory Hill, FL R+81
- Olivet, KS R+54
- Jacksonburg, WV R+69
- Bleecker, NY R+30
- Tulalip, WA R+14
- Truxno, LA R+51
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.