Kennebec leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 57% of adults in Kennebec typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kennebec, ~19% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kennebec compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kennebec leans more Republican than 29 of 40 neighbors.
Kennebec runs about 38 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Kennebec is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Kennebec leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kennebec, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kennebec votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Kennebec runs about 38 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kennebec, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kennebec looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kennebec is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 28% of households in Kennebec rent, above 81% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Kennebec sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Machias, ME R+27
- Machiasport, ME R+23
- Whitneyville, ME R+31
- Roque Bluffs, ME R+31
- Marshfield, ME R+32
- Bucks Harbor, ME R+23
- Jonesboro, ME R+31
- East Machias, ME R+29
- Jacksonville, ME R+30
- Indian River, ME R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kim, CO R+58
- Fountain Gap, IL R+51
- Duck Creek, TN R+77
- Dyllis, TN R+65
- Spades, IN R+61
- Dixie, NC D+7
- Forestburg, SD R+61
- Jeiseyville, IL R+51
- Garland, AL R+48
- Genoa, MN R+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.