Kennedy leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Kennedy typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kennedy, ~16% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kennedy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kennedy leans more Republican than 75 of 94 neighbors.
Kennedy runs about 61 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Kennedy is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Kennedy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kennedy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Kennedy drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Kennedy fits that profile on both counts. Kennedy runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Kennedy, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Kennedy looks the way it does
Turnout in Kennedy sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Waterboro, NY R+49
- Poland Center, NY R+48
- Clear Creek, NY R+51
- Falconer, NY R+29
- Ellington, NY R+51
- Ivory, NY R+47
- Conewango, NY R+51
- Randolph, NY R+42
- Gerry, NY R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sardis, OH R+60
- Garden City, FL R+51
- Elim, GA R+11
- Elbow Lake, MN R+34
- Pinehill, NM D+44
- Hazen, AR R+55
- St. Paul, IN R+61
- Houston, AR R+59
- Booneville, KY R+70
- Maceo, KY R+53
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.