Kerman leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Kerman typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kerman, ~19% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kerman compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kerman leans more Republican than 10 of 29 neighbors.
Kerman runs about 26 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Kerman is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kerman. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+36), a spread of about 43 points.
Why Kerman leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kerman, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kerman votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 38%, well below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Kerman sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 78% of cities). Kerman runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kerman, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Kerman looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kerman is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 16 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in Kerman rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in Kerman report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Biola, CA R+21
- Rolinda, CA R+31
- Ripperdan, CA R+34
- La Vina, CA R+22
- San Joaquin, CA D+24
- Oleander, CA R+37
- Helm, CA R+21
- Tranquillity, CA D+9
- Raisin, CA R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- West St. Paul, MN D+27
- South Miami, FL D+4
- Alum Rock, CA D+29
- Fairwood, WA D+31
- Sharpsburg, GA R+46
- La Vista, NE R+5
- Bensenville, IL D+8
- Milwaukie, OR D+39
- Oregon, OH R+15
- Palm River-Clair Mel, FL D+10
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.