West St. Paul leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 75% of adults in West St. Paul typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in West St. Paul, ~47% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How West St. Paul compares
Among cities within 25 miles, West St. Paul leans more Democratic than 80 of 109 neighbors.
West St. Paul runs about 22 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within West St. Paul. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+19), a spread of about 18 points.
Why West St. Paul leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for West St. Paul, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in West St. Paul live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and West St. Paul sits in the top quarter (about 35%, above 82% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in West St. Paul have never been married, above 92% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; West St. Paul, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in West St. Paul looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. West St. Paul is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South St. Paul, MN D+18
- Mendota Heights, MN D+22
- Sunfish Lake, MN D+12
- Lilydale, MN D+27
- St. Paul, MN D+52
- Mendota, MN D+30
- Inver Grove Heights, MN D+10
- Newport, MN D+12
- Landfall, MN D+11
- Maplewood, MN D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Miami, FL D+4
- Kerman, CA R+6
- Alum Rock, CA D+29
- Sharpsburg, GA R+46
- La Vista, NE R+5
- Fairwood, WA D+31
- Bensenville, IL D+8
- Milwaukie, OR D+39
- Oregon, OH R+15
- Palm River-Clair Mel, FL D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.