Raisin leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 33% of adults in Raisin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Raisin, ~12% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Raisin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Raisin leans more Republican than 21 of 36 neighbors.
Raisin runs about 46 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Raisin is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Raisin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Raisin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 6% of adults in Raisin hold a bachelor's degree, about 29 points below the California average of 35%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Raisin are family households, above 88% of cities. Raisin runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Raisin, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Raisin looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Raisin is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 22 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 65% of households in Raisin rent, about 40 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 40% of adults in Raisin report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Burrel, CA R+27
- Oleander, CA R+37
- Caruthers, CA R+23
- Elm View, CA R+36
- Helm, CA R+21
- Rolinda, CA R+31
- Monmouth, CA R+26
- Riverdale, CA R+34
- Kerman, CA R+6
- Fowler, CA R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Five Corners, PA R+61
- Starr, MD R+21
- Scotts Corners, NY D+13
- Nisland, SD R+78
- Carloover, VA R+55
- Shady Grove, MS Even
- Curran, IL R+28
- Stratton, ME R+27
- Beersheba Springs, TN R+71
- Kent, AL R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.