Kingsville is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Kingsville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kingsville, ~26% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kingsville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kingsville leans more Republican than 5 of 21 neighbors.
Kingsville runs about 9 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kingsville. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Kingsville leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kingsville. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Kingsville, TX does.
Why turnout in Kingsville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kingsville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 7 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 48% of households in Kingsville rent, compared to around 17% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ricardo, TX R+20
- Bishop, TX R+13
- Palo Alto, TX R+26
- Vattmannville, TX R+33
- Riviera, TX R+26
- Driscoll, TX R+20
- Ben Bolt, TX R+14
- Petronila, TX R+31
- Agua Dulce, TX R+21
- Premont, TX R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Springfield Town, MA D+5
- Deer Park, NY R+5
- Rahway, NJ D+37
- Corbin, KY R+60
- Forest Grove, OR D+10
- Gulf Breeze, FL R+43
- Sugar Hill, GA R+4
- Woodway, TX R+30
- Moscow, ID D+15
- Fremont, NE R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.