Kinsale leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Kinsale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kinsale, ~47% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kinsale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kinsale leans more Democratic than 98 of 100 neighbors.
Politically, Kinsale sits close to the rest of Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kinsale. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+20) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Kinsale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kinsale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in Kinsale hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Kinsale, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kinsale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Kinsale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 57%, below 67% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tucker Hill, VA D+8
- Hyacinth, VA R+7
- Hague, VA D+8
- Callao, VA R+17
- Harryhogan, VA R+17
- Oldhams, VA D+7
- Lottsburg, VA R+18
- Mount Holly, VA R+6
- Walmsley, VA R+18
- Haynesville, VA R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kansas, IL R+58
- Marbleton, WY R+77
- Syracuse, SC R+17
- Hunting Valley, OH D+3
- Templeville, MD R+44
- Cokeville, WY R+78
- St. Marks, GA R+16
- Mudsock, OH R+14
- Green Mountain Falls, CO D+6
- Cherryfield, ME R+28
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.