Kipahulu leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Kipahulu typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kipahulu, ~58% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kipahulu compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kipahulu leans more Democratic than 12 of 14 neighbors.
Kipahulu runs about 12 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kipahulu. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Kipahulu leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kipahulu. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kipahulu, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kipahulu looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Kipahulu have completed high school, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kaupo, HI D+36
- Hana, HI D+34
- Wailua, HI D+36
- Kula, HI D+18
- Ulupalakua, HI D+24
- Huelo, HI D+15
- Makawao, HI D+22
- Haiku, HI D+15
- Makena, HI D+21
- Haliimaile, HI D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lawton, ND R+41
- Pinnacles, CA R+41
- Ury, WV R+70
- Kirkland Junction, AZ R+54
- Ottumwa, KS R+61
- Overton, NV R+60
- Cooperstown Junction, NY R+27
- Conesville, NY R+37
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.