Kula leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Kula typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kula, ~37% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kula compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kula leans more Democratic than 9 of 24 neighbors.
Kula runs about 5 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kula. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Kula leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kula, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in Kula hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 33% of adults in Kula have never been married, above 84% of cities.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Kula, HI does.
Why turnout in Kula looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Kula is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Makawao, HI D+22
- Kihei, HI D+20
- Haliimaile, HI D+24
- Ulupalakua, HI D+24
- Haiku-Pauwela, HI D+11
- Haiku, HI D+15
- Paia, HI D+31
- Spanish B Village, HI D+20
- Hawaiian Village, HI D+20
- Makena, HI D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Villa Hills, KY R+21
- Lake Alfred, FL R+21
- Waynesville, OH R+50
- Clyde, OH R+41
- Stanford, KY R+57
- Lucasville, OH R+56
- Madera Acres, CA R+15
- Micco, FL R+29
- Bohemia, NY R+33
- Mexia, TX R+18
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.