Kirksville leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Kirksville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirksville, ~28% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kirksville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kirksville is the least Republican-leaning.
Kirksville runs about 9 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kirksville. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+33), a spread of about 58 points.
Why Kirksville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kirksville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kirksville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 62%, far above the Missouri average of 22%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kirksville, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kirksville looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 50% of households in Kirksville rent, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nind, MO R+40
- Youngstown, MO R+53
- Sublette, MO R+59
- Sperry, MO R+63
- Millard, MO R+66
- Novinger, MO R+66
- Tipperary, MO R+66
- Yarrow, MO R+67
- Brashear, MO R+65
- Greentop, MO R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Westwood, NJ D+3
- Chehalis, WA R+27
- Washington Court House, OH R+50
- Greenfield, CA D+28
- Bryn Mawr-Skyway, WA D+48
- Caldwell, NJ Even
- Riverton, NJ D+10
- Seabrook, MD D+69
- Bayou Cane, LA R+47
- Hatfield, PA D+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.