Lackawanna is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Lackawanna typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lackawanna, ~30% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lackawanna compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lackawanna leans more Democratic than 75 of 87 neighbors.
Lackawanna runs about 9 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lackawanna. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+35) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Lackawanna leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lackawanna. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Lackawanna, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lackawanna looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 43% of households in Lackawanna rent, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Lackawanna report food insecurity, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Blasdell, NY R+7
- West Seneca, NY R+8
- Orchard Park, NY R+4
- Sloan, NY Even
- Hamburg, NY R+4
- Cheektowaga, NY D+11
- Wanakah, NY R+9
- Buffalo, NY D+10
- DePew, NY R+8
- Lakeview, NY R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Forest Lake, MN R+7
- The Dalles, OR R+10
- North Ogden, UT R+28
- Canyon Lake, TX R+48
- Bryn Mawr, PA D+40
- Bayshore Gardens, FL R+8
- Hudson, MA D+15
- Fulshear, TX R+25
- Howard, WI R+12
- Blythe, CA D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.