Hamburg, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hamburg

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hamburg is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.

 

About 85% of adults in Hamburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hamburg, ~41% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hamburg compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Hamburg leans more Republican than 14 of 89 neighbors.

Hamburg runs about 17 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hamburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hamburg. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 23 points.

Why Hamburg leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hamburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Hamburg votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hamburg runs about 17 points more Republican. Density and white share pull in opposite directions and roughly cancel in Hamburg.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hamburg, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Hamburg looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hamburg is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.