Blasdell leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Blasdell typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blasdell, ~29% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blasdell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blasdell leans more Republican than 19 of 87 neighbors.
Blasdell runs about 20 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Blasdell is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Blasdell. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+11) and the west side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Blasdell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blasdell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Blasdell votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 98%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Blasdell runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Blasdell, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Blasdell looks the way it does
Turnout in Blasdell sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lackawanna, NY D+3
- Hamburg, NY R+4
- Orchard Park, NY R+4
- West Seneca, NY R+8
- Wanakah, NY R+9
- Sloan, NY Even
- Lakeview, NY R+15
- Colden, NY R+15
- Cheektowaga, NY D+11
- North Evans, NY R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Black Earth, WI D+9
- Woodsboro, MD R+26
- Ronceverte, WV R+48
- Hamer, SC R+10
- Dixfield, ME R+30
- Elmwood, IL R+31
- El Cenizo, TX R+3
- Seabrook, SC D+20
- Mesilla, NM D+8
- Utley, TX R+31
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.