Lafayette leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Lafayette typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lafayette, ~20% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lafayette compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lafayette leans more Republican than 23 of 58 neighbors.
Lafayette runs about 49 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lafayette is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lafayette. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Lafayette leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lafayette, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lafayette votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lafayette runs about 49 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Lafayette drive to work alone, above 83% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lafayette, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lafayette looks the way it does
Turnout in Lafayette sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Elliston, VA R+40
- Ironto, VA R+24
- Glenvar, VA R+38
- Wabun, VA R+31
- Shawsville, VA R+48
- Bent Mountain, VA R+27
- McDonalds Mill, VA R+34
- Salem, VA R+25
- Mason Cove, VA R+49
- Catawba, VA R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Phillipsburg, KY R+61
- Pine Bluff, WI D+19
- Southport, FL R+65
- Spaulding, OK R+67
- Forksville, VA R+19
- Lake Sunnyside, NY R+2
- Hampton, NY R+42
- Kelleys, LA D+18
- Warnerville, NY R+32
- Savoy, MA R+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.