Lahaina, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lahaina

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lahaina leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.

 

About 50% of adults in Lahaina typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lahaina, ~29% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lahaina compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lahaina leans more Democratic than 6 of 23 neighbors.

Lahaina runs about 6 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Why Lahaina leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lahaina, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 34% of adults in Lahaina have never been married, above 84% of cities.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lahaina, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Lahaina looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 41% of households in Lahaina rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 17% of homes in Lahaina have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.