Olowalu leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Olowalu typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Olowalu, ~37% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Olowalu compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Olowalu leans more Democratic than 16 of 25 neighbors.
Politically, Olowalu sits close to the rest of Hawaii.
Why Olowalu leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Olowalu, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in Olowalu hold a bachelor's degree, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Olowalu, HI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Olowalu looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Olowalu have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of cities. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Olowalu sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Launiupoko, HI D+21
- Kelawea, HI D+15
- Waikapu, HI D+16
- Lahaina, HI D+17
- Wailuku, HI D+19
- Honokowai, HI D+18
- Kahului, HI D+18
- Napili, HI D+12
- Kihei, HI D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zylks, LA R+39
- Harryhogan, VA R+17
- Saulsburg, PA R+55
- Copeland, OK R+65
- Middlegrove, IL R+41
- Union Springs, LA R+77
- Massillon, IA R+46
- Estes, TX R+57
- Mora, LA R+75
- New Post, WI R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.