Lake City leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Lake City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake City, ~21% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake City leans more Republican than 3 of 7 neighbors.
Lake City runs about 57 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Lake City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lake City. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Lake City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lake City votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Lake City runs about 57 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lake City, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lake City looks the way it does
Turnout in Lake City sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cedarville, CA R+34
- Davis Creek, CA R+57
- Fort Bidwell, CA R+35
- Alturas, CA R+44
- New Pine Creek, CA R+57
- Eagleville, CA R+35
- New Pine Creek, OR R+65
- Likely, CA R+57
- Canby, CA R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tatums, OK R+26
- New Harrison, OH R+65
- Haskins, IA R+44
- Perryville, PA R+48
- Bixby, MO R+68
- Reno, IL R+55
- Talcville, VT D+17
- Lake Itasca, MN R+33
- Lindy, NE R+35
- Herty, TX R+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.