Lake Los Angeles leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Lake Los Angeles typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Los Angeles, ~21% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Los Angeles compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Los Angeles leans more Republican than 4 of 17 neighbors.
Lake Los Angeles runs about 29 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Lake Los Angeles is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lake Los Angeles leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Los Angeles, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 86% of households in Lake Los Angeles are family households, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Lake Los Angeles runs against that pattern. Lake Los Angeles runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Lake Los Angeles, CA does.
Why turnout in Lake Los Angeles looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lake Los Angeles is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in Lake Los Angeles report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 70% of adults in Lake Los Angeles have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sun Village, CA D+4
- Llano, CA R+19
- Pearblossom, CA R+12
- Littlerock, CA R+10
- El Mirage, CA R+25
- Valyermo, CA R+13
- Palmdale, CA D+14
- Pinon Hills, CA R+41
- Lancaster, CA D+14
- Wrightwood, CA R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ralston, NE Even
- East China, MI R+40
- Morgantown, PA R+34
- Winfield, AL R+78
- Plainedge, NY R+28
- Lindstrom, MN R+24
- Sullivan, IL R+49
- Dalton, OH R+53
- Waleska, GA R+63
- Hayden, AL R+82
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.