Pinon Hills leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Pinon Hills typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pinon Hills, ~17% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pinon Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pinon Hills is the most Republican-leaning.
Pinon Hills runs about 61 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Pinon Hills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pinon Hills. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Pinon Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pinon Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pinon Hills votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Pinon Hills runs about 61 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Pinon Hills runs against that pattern.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Pinon Hills, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Pinon Hills looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pinon Hills is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Pinon Hills report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wrightwood, CA R+15
- Phelan, CA R+39
- Llano, CA R+19
- Valyermo, CA R+13
- Oak Hills, CA R+39
- Adelanto, CA D+8
- El Mirage, CA R+25
- Mount Baldy, CA R+19
- Lytle Creek, CA R+27
- Pearblossom, CA R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Newport, WA R+33
- Clarkston, WA R+19
- Topanga, CA D+28
- Orangeburg, NY R+5
- Jackson, CA R+32
- Ocean Isle Beach, NC R+36
- Pelion, SC R+65
- Cazenovia, NY D+10
- Epping, NH Even
- Thatcher, AZ R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.