Lame Deer leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Lame Deer typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lame Deer, ~34% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lame Deer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lame Deer is the most Democratic-leaning.
Lame Deer runs about 60 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole. Montana leans Republican overall, while Lame Deer is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lame Deer. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+54) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+63), a spread of about 117 points.
Why Lame Deer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lame Deer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lame Deer votes against the grain of Montana. Montana leans Republican overall, while Lame Deer runs about 60 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Lame Deer have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lame Deer, MT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Lame Deer looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lame Deer is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 20 points below the Montana average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 45% of households in Lame Deer rent, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 44% of adults in Lame Deer report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Busby, MT D+9
- Birney, MT R+8
- Birney Day School, MT D+14
- Ashland, MT R+5
- Colstrip, MT R+52
- Kirby, MT D+7
- Sumatra, MT R+66
- Garryowen, MT D+37
- Decker, MT Even
- Crow Agency, MT D+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Belle Center, OH R+60
- Manawa, WI R+43
- Thomaston, NY D+17
- Sebree, KY R+60
- Mexico, ME R+34
- Linden, AZ R+55
- Lucas, OH R+53
- Markleville, IN R+48
- Jerome, MI R+33
- New London, MO R+59
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.