Laurel Mills leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Laurel Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Laurel Mills, ~48% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~-5% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Laurel Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Laurel Mills leans more Republican than 3 of 85 neighbors.
Laurel Mills runs about 14 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Laurel Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Laurel Mills. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Laurel Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Laurel Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Laurel Mills live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Laurel Mills runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Laurel Mills, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Laurel Mills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Laurel Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Castleton, VA R+24
- Rock Mills, VA R+18
- Viewtown, VA R+26
- Woodville, VA R+3
- Washington, VA R+12
- Rixeyville, VA R+43
- Amissville, VA R+35
- Flint Hill, VA R+25
- Scrabble, VA R+24
- Oakshade, VA R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Minnewawa, MN R+40
- Abercrombie, ND R+43
- Yale, IL R+67
- Margarettsville, NC Even
- Blissfield, OH R+64
- Maxim, GA R+64
- Quinn, AR R+57
- Deferiet, NY R+31
- Blackwood, AL R+70
- Walcksville, PA R+38
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.