Lawrence County leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Lawrence County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence County, ~17% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lawrence County leans more Republican than 2 of 18 neighbors.
Lawrence County runs about 58 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Lawrence County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lawrence County. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+61) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Lawrence County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrence County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lawrence County votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Lawrence County runs about 58 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Lawrence County sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 89% of counties).
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lawrence County, IL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lawrence County looks the way it does
Turnout in Lawrence County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Knox County, IN R+41
- Richland County, IL R+50
- Crawford County, IL R+50
- Wabash County, IL R+51
- Edwards County, IL R+64
- Jasper County, IL R+61
- Gibson County, IN R+49
- Sullivan County, IN R+49
- Pike County, IN R+55
- Daviess County, IN R+59
Counties with Similar Populations
- West Feliciana Parish, LA R+48
- Marshall County, OK R+56
- Roseau County, MN R+45
- Grayson County, VA R+59
- Alleghany County, VA R+51
- Page County, IA R+39
- Macon County, MO R+57
- Tipton County, IN R+52
- Pecos County, TX R+28
- Kingfisher County, OK R+64
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.