Grayson County is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Grayson County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grayson County, ~14% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grayson County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Grayson County leans more Republican than 15 of 19 neighbors.
Grayson County runs about 64 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Grayson County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Grayson County. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+49), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Grayson County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grayson County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grayson County votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Grayson County runs about 64 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Grayson County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 8%, below 87% of counties). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Grayson County sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 83% of counties).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Grayson County, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Grayson County looks the way it does
Turnout in Grayson County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Alleghany County, NC R+58
- Galax City, VA R+38
- Wythe County, VA R+57
- Carroll County, VA R+63
- Ashe County, NC R+47
- Smyth County, VA R+57
- Surry County, NC R+52
- Wilkes County, NC R+57
- Bland County, VA R+68
- Pulaski County, VA R+43
Counties with Similar Populations
- Roseau County, MN R+45
- Marshall County, OK R+56
- West Feliciana Parish, LA R+48
- Tipton County, IN R+52
- Lawrence County, IL R+47
- Washington County, AL R+46
- Redwood County, MN R+47
- Williamsburg City, VA D+43
- Vermillion County, IN R+50
- Alleghany County, VA R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.